The civil war, the minia
Conflict with Ethiopia During the Tigray War 2020-2021, the army engaged in a border war against Ethiopian militias supported by the Ethiopian army in the Al-Fashqa region of Gedaref State. Sudan's objective was to reclaim lands occupied by these militias in the mid-1990s.
Historical and Political Background on the Role of the Army in Power in Sudan and Neighboring Countries
Despite the prevalence of military regimes in post-independence Africa due to corruption and mismanagement, Sudan is distinguished by the largest number of military coups in Africa (source). It is noteworthy that military governments currently exist and have existed in the past in all of Sudan's neighboring countries, where we find the Derg regime in Ethiopia, the military regimes of Chad, the military republic of Egypt, Gaddafi's regime, the Central African Republic, the military regime of South Sudan, Eritrea, and the post-Derg regime of Ethiopia.
Despite the prevalence of military coups in Africa after the independence of most of the continent's countries between the sixties and nineties of the last century, the phenomenon has relatively diminished with the beginning of the third millennium, as a result of popular opposition to any "rough" and unconstitutional change.
Analysis of the Current Political Situation
Sudan in light of transitional aspirations and the dilemma of democratic transition
The paths of transition can be analyzed according to the vision of the following thinkers and researchers:
* Alex de Waal and the political market (bazaar) approach * Sayyid and the dilemma of civilian rule * Mahmoud Mohamedien and the dialectic of rural and urban power
Alex de Waal: Political Market Theory
The entry into the analysis of the bazaar and the system of corrupt states under the Qaharat government points to further extremism in the military state model and further obstacles in the path of democratic transition. This is because the main players and the main capital in the Sudanese political market are in the hands of the military, under weak and submissive civilian institutions and parties to bazaar deals.